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UpDownDownDown
MayorMamdani<$100Down
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$63.56
Combined PnL
$8.27
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares88
Combined PnL-$1.94
Down4 traders
Total Value$63.56
Total Shares64
Combined PnL+$10.2
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.2¢ | $1.94 | — | -$1.94 | 59% 61899-42898 (104797) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 80.5¢ | $40.25 | $50 | +$9.75 | 57% 69318-52757 (122075) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $5.76 | $6.06 | +$0.3 | 66% 124228-63947 (188175) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 52% 89117-83588 (172705) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $2.4 | $2.5 | +$0.1 | 55% 43879-36307 (80186) |
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$1.94
Value
—
PnL
-$1.94
Record
59%
61899-42898 (104797)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$40.25
Value
$50
PnL
+$9.75
Record
57%
69318-52757 (122075)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$5.76
Value
$6.06
PnL
+$0.3
Record
66%
124228-63947 (188175)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
52%
89117-83588 (172705)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
$2.5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
55%
43879-36307 (80186)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb36fcb86...488d70
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793160300