Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 63%
$59.5
-$67.59
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 95.8¢ | $48.52 | $50.63 | +$2.11 | 63% 50900-30030 (80930) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 54.3¢ | $54.14 | — | -$54.14 | 57% 69318-52757 (122075) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $2.08 | — | -$2.08 | 61% 93625-58870 (152495) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $4.99 | $6.57 | +$1.58 | 66% 111385-57646 (169031) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 52% 89117-83588 (172705) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $1.22 | $2.3 | +$1.08 | 65% 21119-11585 (32704) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 28.8¢ | $11.7 | — | -$11.7 | 55% 43879-36307 (80186) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $3.14 | — | -$3.14 | 66% 124228-63947 (188175) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$48.52
Value
$50.63
PnL
+$2.11
Record
63%
50900-30030 (80930)
Invested
$54.14
Value
—
PnL
-$54.14
Record
57%
69318-52757 (122075)
Invested
$2.08
Value
—
PnL
-$2.08
Record
61%
93625-58870 (152495)
Invested
$4.99
Value
$6.57
PnL
+$1.58
Record
66%
111385-57646 (169031)
Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
52%
89117-83588 (172705)
Invested
$1.22
Value
$2.3
PnL
+$1.08
Record
65%
21119-11585 (32704)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$11.7
Value
—
PnL
-$11.7
Record
55%
43879-36307 (80186)
Invested
$3.14
Value
—
PnL
-$3.14
Record
66%
124228-63947 (188175)
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