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DownUpDownUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$37.05
Combined PnL
-$1.16
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$37.05
Total Shares37
Combined PnL+$3.88
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares21
Combined PnL-$5.03
Down — 33%Up — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 94.6¢ | $28.38 | $30 | +$1.62 | 65% 123904-66250 (190154) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $1.92 | — | -$1.92 | 61% 93594-58851 (152445) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $4.79 | $7.05 | +$2.26 | 48% 22986-25028 (48014) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $2.53 | — | -$2.53 | 65% 21073-11552 (32625) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 59% 61890-42888 (104778) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $0.48 | — | -$0.48 | 52% 89083-83565 (172648) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$28.38
Value
$30
PnL
+$1.62
Record
65%
123904-66250 (190154)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.92
Value
—
PnL
-$1.92
Record
61%
93594-58851 (152445)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100Invested
$4.79
Value
$7.05
PnL
+$2.26
Record
48%
22986-25028 (48014)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$2.53
Value
—
PnL
-$2.53
Record
65%
21073-11552 (32625)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
59%
61890-42888 (104778)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$0.48
Value
—
PnL
-$0.48
Record
52%
89083-83565 (172648)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x36e9a05e...304f57
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793152800