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DownUpDownDownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 50%
Total Value
$22.19
Combined PnL
$0.73
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares37
Combined PnL-$3.91
Up3 traders
Total Value$22.19
Total Shares22
Combined PnL+$4.64
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 65% 20975-11511 (32486) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 86.3¢ | $12.42 | $14.39 | +$1.97 | 66% 124118-63886 (188004) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 48% 22972-25014 (47986) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.21 | — | -$0.21 | 59% 61872-42853 (104725) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $2.55 | $5 | +$2.45 | 65% 123835-66215 (190050) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $2.58 | $2.8 | +$0.22 | 61% 93527-58804 (152331) |
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
65%
20975-11511 (32486)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$12.42
Value
$14.39
PnL
+$1.97
Record
66%
124118-63886 (188004)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
48%
22972-25014 (47986)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.21
Value
—
PnL
-$0.21
Record
59%
61872-42853 (104725)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.45
Record
65%
123835-66215 (190050)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$2.58
Value
$2.8
PnL
+$0.22
Record
61%
93527-58804 (152331)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd5b0578e...5f3999
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793143500