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MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$61.12
Combined PnL
-$9.72
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares71
Combined PnL-$14.44
Up2 traders
Total Value$61.12
Total Shares61
Combined PnL+$4.72
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.5¢ | $11.76 | — | -$11.76 | 55% 43796-36217 (80013) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 87.2¢ | $30.53 | $35.03 | +$4.5 | 63% 50818-30002 (80820) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 86.9¢ | $25.87 | $26.09 | +$0.22 | 65% 20975-11511 (32486) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $2.38 | — | -$2.38 | 52% 89030-83502 (172532) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 59% 61872-42853 (104725) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$11.76
Value
—
PnL
-$11.76
Record
55%
43796-36217 (80013)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$30.53
Value
$35.03
PnL
+$4.5
Record
63%
50818-30002 (80820)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$25.87
Value
$26.09
PnL
+$0.22
Record
65%
20975-11511 (32486)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$2.38
Value
—
PnL
-$2.38
Record
52%
89030-83502 (172532)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
59%
61872-42853 (104725)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x57e20513...73d937
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793141700