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Up
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Up
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100UpUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpDown Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Up β but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 83%
Total Value
$1
Combined PnL
-$4.07
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares306
Combined PnL-$4.62
Down1 trader
Total Value$1
Total Shares1
Combined PnL+$0.55
Up β 83%Down β 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $1.78 | β | -$1.78 | 59% 61860-42827 (104687) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $1 | β | -$1 | 63% 50771-29982 (80753) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.24 | β | -$0.24 | 62% 43512-26432 (69944) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 24Β’ | $1.5 | β | -$1.5 | 52% 88990-83472 (172462) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 5Β’ | $0.1 | β | -$0.1 | 55% 43758-36180 (79938) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 90Β’ | $5.4 | $1 | +$0.55 | 65% 123790-66202 (189992) |
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$1.78
Value
β
PnL
-$1.78
Record
59%
61860-42827 (104687)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
β
PnL
-$1
Record
63%
50771-29982 (80753)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.24
Value
β
PnL
-$0.24
Record
62%
43512-26432 (69944)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
β
PnL
-$1.5
Record
52%
88990-83472 (172462)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
β
PnL
-$0.1
Record
55%
43758-36180 (79938)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$5.4
Value
$1
PnL
+$0.55
Record
65%
123790-66202 (189992)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdb83c721...7b1b29
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793138400