Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Up 57%
$57.01
-$81.12
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $44.39 | — | -$44.39 | 65% 20812-11390 (32202) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 90.1¢ | $30.58 | — | -$30.18 | 65% 123715-66149 (189864) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 70.7¢ | $26.5 | — | -$26.5 | 57% 69092-52584 (121676) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 65.4¢ | $23.59 | $36.09 | +$12.5 | 63% 50719-29966 (80685) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 60.1¢ | $10.5 | — | -$10.5 | 55% 43713-36124 (79837) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $1.08 | $15.43 | +$14.35 | 52% 88930-83410 (172340) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $0.85 | — | -$0.85 | 66% 123993-63821 (187814) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $1.05 | $5.5 | +$4.46 | 61% 93423-58740 (152163) |
Invested
$44.39
Value
—
PnL
-$44.39
Record
65%
20812-11390 (32202)
Invested
$30.58
Value
—
PnL
-$30.18
Record
65%
123715-66149 (189864)
Invested
$26.5
Value
—
PnL
-$26.5
Record
57%
69092-52584 (121676)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$23.59
Value
$36.09
PnL
+$12.5
Record
63%
50719-29966 (80685)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$10.5
Value
—
PnL
-$10.5
Record
55%
43713-36124 (79837)
Invested
$1.08
Value
$15.43
PnL
+$14.35
Record
52%
88930-83410 (172340)
Invested
$0.85
Value
—
PnL
-$0.85
Record
66%
123993-63821 (187814)
Invested
$1.05
Value
$5.5
PnL
+$4.46
Record
61%
93423-58740 (152163)
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