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DownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpDownDownUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$43.71
Combined PnL
$3.09
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$43.71
Total Shares44
Combined PnL+$7.4
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares15
Combined PnL-$4.31
Down β 67%Up β 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 56Β’ | $11.2 | $20 | +$8.8 | 65% 123715-66149 (189864) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 87Β’ | $9.35 | $7.69 | -$1.66 | 57% 69092-52584 (121676) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 40Β’ | $4.1 | β | -$4.1 | 55% 43713-36124 (79837) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98.8Β’ | $7.92 | $8.02 | +$0.1 | 66% 123993-63821 (187814) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $7.84 | $8 | +$0.16 | 52% 88930-83410 (172340) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 4Β’ | $0.21 | β | -$0.21 | 59% 61841-42785 (104626) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$11.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$8.8
Record
65%
123715-66149 (189864)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$9.35
Value
$7.69
PnL
-$1.66
Record
57%
69092-52584 (121676)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.1
Value
β
PnL
-$4.1
Record
55%
43713-36124 (79837)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$7.92
Value
$8.02
PnL
+$0.1
Record
66%
123993-63821 (187814)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$7.84
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.16
Record
52%
88930-83410 (172340)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.21
Value
β
PnL
-$0.21
Record
59%
61841-42785 (104626)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x87d35716...3b686d
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793128200