Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Down 60%
$94.3
-$108.27
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 63.7¢ | $126.44 | — | -$126.44 | 57% 69092-52584 (121676) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 95.4¢ | $31.77 | $33.3 | +$1.53 | 63% 50719-29966 (80685) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 61.8¢ | $16.06 | $26 | +$9.94 | 65% 123715-66149 (189864) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $2.5 | $25 | +$22.5 | 62% 43491-26415 (69906) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $8 | $10 | +$2 | 65% 20812-11390 (32202) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 35.5¢ | $13.18 | — | -$13.18 | 55% 43713-36124 (79837) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $1.55 | — | -$1.55 | 66% 123993-63821 (187814) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 52% 88930-83410 (172340) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $1.43 | — | -$1.43 | 61% 93423-58740 (152163) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $0.21 | — | -$0.21 | 59% 61841-42785 (104626) |
Invested
$126.44
Value
—
PnL
-$126.44
Record
57%
69092-52584 (121676)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$31.77
Value
$33.3
PnL
+$1.53
Record
63%
50719-29966 (80685)
Invested
$16.06
Value
$26
PnL
+$9.94
Record
65%
123715-66149 (189864)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$2.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$22.5
Record
62%
43491-26415 (69906)
Invested
$8
Value
$10
PnL
+$2
Record
65%
20812-11390 (32202)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$13.18
Value
—
PnL
-$13.18
Record
55%
43713-36124 (79837)
Invested
$1.55
Value
—
PnL
-$1.55
Record
66%
123993-63821 (187814)
Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
52%
88930-83410 (172340)
Invested
$1.43
Value
—
PnL
-$1.43
Record
61%
93423-58740 (152163)
Invested
$0.21
Value
—
PnL
-$0.21
Record
59%
61841-42785 (104626)
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