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DownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUp
ohioism<$100Down
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$150.32
Combined PnL
-$18.8
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$150.32
Total Shares150
Combined PnL-$9.45
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares38
Combined PnL-$9.36
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 75.2¢ | $75.8 | $74.32 | -$1.47 | 57% 69092-52584 (121676) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 93.3¢ | $75.17 | $66 | -$9.17 | 65% 123715-66149 (189864) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $5.9 | — | -$5.9 | 55% 43713-36124 (79837) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $3.46 | — | -$3.46 | 65% 20812-11390 (32202) |
ohioism<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $8.8 | $10 | +$1.2 | 64% 39591-22581 (62172) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$75.8
Value
$74.32
PnL
-$1.47
Record
57%
69092-52584 (121676)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$75.17
Value
$66
PnL
-$9.17
Record
65%
123715-66149 (189864)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.9
Value
—
PnL
-$5.9
Record
55%
43713-36124 (79837)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$3.46
Value
—
PnL
-$3.46
Record
65%
20812-11390 (32202)
ohioism<$100Invested
$8.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.2
Record
64%
39591-22581 (62172)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9db9a647...eb666b
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793125500