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Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDownUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$63.72
Combined PnL
-$0.72
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$63.72
Total Shares64
Combined PnL+$6.43
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares71
Combined PnL-$7.15
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 88.1¢ | $46.4 | $52.69 | +$6.29 | 57% 69092-52584 (121676) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.1¢ | $2.46 | — | -$2.46 | 55% 43713-36124 (79837) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 65% 123715-66149 (189864) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 98.7¢ | $10.89 | $11.03 | +$0.14 | 66% 123993-63821 (187814) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 14.3¢ | $1.14 | — | -$1.14 | 61% 93423-58740 (152163) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 52% 88930-83410 (172340) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$46.4
Value
$52.69
PnL
+$6.29
Record
57%
69092-52584 (121676)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.46
Value
—
PnL
-$2.46
Record
55%
43713-36124 (79837)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
65%
123715-66149 (189864)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$10.89
Value
$11.03
PnL
+$0.14
Record
66%
123993-63821 (187814)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.14
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
61%
93423-58740 (152163)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
52%
88930-83410 (172340)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x979b2015...37b4ca
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793124900