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MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpDownDownUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$75.61
Combined PnL
-$46.57
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares67
Combined PnL-$51.47
Down3 traders
Total Value$75.61
Total Shares76
Combined PnL+$4.9
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 52.1¢ | $46.85 | — | -$46.85 | 55% 43689-36107 (79796) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 61.3¢ | $37.01 | $37.74 | +$0.73 | 57% 69047-52548 (121595) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $29.7 | $30 | +$0.3 | 65% 123689-66126 (189815) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $4.52 | — | -$4.52 | 61% 93399-58707 (152106) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 63% 50706-29951 (80657) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $5 | $7.87 | +$3.87 | 65% 20770-11363 (32133) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$46.85
Value
—
PnL
-$46.85
Record
55%
43689-36107 (79796)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$37.01
Value
$37.74
PnL
+$0.73
Record
57%
69047-52548 (121595)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$29.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.3
Record
65%
123689-66126 (189815)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$4.52
Value
—
PnL
-$4.52
Record
61%
93399-58707 (152106)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
63%
50706-29951 (80657)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$5
Value
$7.87
PnL
+$3.87
Record
65%
20770-11363 (32133)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xee010f9d...c2e251
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793122200