Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 75%
$67.79
-$13.69
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 70.2¢ | $33.52 | $47.79 | +$14.26 | 65% 20711-11321 (32032) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $15.6 | $20 | +$4.4 | 65% 123648-66111 (189759) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.4¢ | $14.06 | — | -$14.06 | 57% 68891-52429 (121320) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 22.6¢ | $10.24 | — | -$10.24 | 55% 43651-36077 (79728) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.1¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 52% 88881-83328 (172209) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.7¢ | $2.43 | — | -$2.43 | 61% 93357-58685 (152042) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 66% 123902-63779 (187681) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 63% 50673-29929 (80602) |
Invested
$33.52
Value
$47.79
PnL
+$14.26
Record
65%
20711-11321 (32032)
Invested
$15.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.4
Record
65%
123648-66111 (189759)
Invested
$14.06
Value
—
PnL
-$14.06
Record
57%
68891-52429 (121320)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$10.24
Value
—
PnL
-$10.24
Record
55%
43651-36077 (79728)
Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
52%
88881-83328 (172209)
Invested
$2.43
Value
—
PnL
-$2.43
Record
61%
93357-58685 (152042)
Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
66%
123902-63779 (187681)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
63%
50673-29929 (80602)
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