Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$137.14

Combined PnL

-$1.94

Down

3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down3 traders

Total Value$28

Total Shares28

Combined PnL+$7.85

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares32

Combined PnL-$9.79

Down — 60%Up — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100	Downavg 70.7¢	$115.21	$109.14	-$6.07	57% 68891-52429 (121320)
└ Down leg	Downavg 70.7¢	$77.21	$109.14	+$31.93
└ Up leg	Upavg 66.1¢	$38	—	-$38
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 80¢	$9.53	$11.92	+$2.39	66% 123902-63779 (187681)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 13¢	$2.21	—	-$2.21	65% 123648-66111 (189759)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 52¢	$7.58	—	-$7.58	65% 20711-11321 (32032)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 77¢	$5.72	$6.08	+$0.36	61% 93357-58685 (152042)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 49¢	$4.9	$10	+$5.1	55% 43651-36077 (79728)