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DownDownUp
MayorMamdani<$100UpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 50%
Total Value
$65.18
Combined PnL
-$58.35
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares152
Combined PnL-$114.97
Up3 traders
Total Value$65.18
Total Shares65
Combined PnL+$56.62
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 73.6¢ | $86.94 | — | -$86.94 | 57% 68891-52429 (121320) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 81.2¢ | $24.43 | — | -$19.48 | 65% 123648-66111 (189759) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 5.6¢ | $1.35 | $24.09 | +$22.74 | 52% 88881-83328 (172209) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 6.6¢ | $4.17 | $33.09 | +$28.92 | 55% 43651-36077 (79728) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $8.55 | — | -$8.55 | 66% 123902-63779 (187681) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $3.04 | $8 | +$4.96 | 61% 93357-58685 (152042) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$86.94
Value
—
PnL
-$86.94
Record
57%
68891-52429 (121320)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$24.43
Value
—
PnL
-$19.48
Record
65%
123648-66111 (189759)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
$24.09
PnL
+$22.74
Record
52%
88881-83328 (172209)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.17
Value
$33.09
PnL
+$28.92
Record
55%
43651-36077 (79728)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$8.55
Value
—
PnL
-$8.55
Record
66%
123902-63779 (187681)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$3.04
Value
$8
PnL
+$4.96
Record
61%
93357-58685 (152042)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0882c5b9...4e45b0
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793116500