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UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownUpUpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$46.52
Combined PnL
-$5.97
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$46.52
Total Shares47
Combined PnL+$14.17
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares26
Combined PnL-$20.14
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $28.65 | $41.52 | +$12.87 | 63% 50639-29898 (80537) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $8.37 | — | -$8.37 | 66% 123808-63743 (187551) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $10.01 | — | -$10.01 | 65% 20619-11265 (31884) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $3.7 | $5 | +$1.3 | 61% 93280-58641 (151921) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $1.77 | — | -$1.77 | 48% 22912-24914 (47826) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$28.65
Value
$41.52
PnL
+$12.87
Record
63%
50639-29898 (80537)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$8.37
Value
—
PnL
-$8.37
Record
66%
123808-63743 (187551)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$10.01
Value
—
PnL
-$10.01
Record
65%
20619-11265 (31884)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$3.7
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.3
Record
61%
93280-58641 (151921)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$1.77
Value
—
PnL
-$1.77
Record
48%
22912-24914 (47826)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe86bbaab...6a46ff
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793106000