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MayorMamdaniARB<$100UpDownUp
UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Down 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$96.58
Combined PnL
$14.27
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$48.79
Total Shares49
Combined PnL+$22.96
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares16
Combined PnL-$8.68
Down — 75%Up — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniARB<$100 | Upavg 58.6¢ | $54.49 | $47.79 | -$6.7 | 55% 43574-35987 (79561) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 58.6¢ | $33.1 | — | -$33.1 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 44.8¢ | $21.39 | $47.79 | +$26.4 | |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $9 | $30 | +$21 | 65% 123539-66052 (189591) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 53.4¢ | $8.68 | — | -$8.68 | 65% 20576-11237 (31813) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $9.9 | $11.79 | +$1.89 | 63% 50616-29893 (80509) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $6.93 | $7 | +$0.07 | 66% 123770-63721 (187491) |
MayorMamdaniARB<$100Invested
$54.49
Value
$47.79
PnL
-$6.7
Record
55%
43574-35987 (79561)
Both legs:
Up$33.158.6¢-$33.1
Down$21.3944.8¢+$26.4
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$9
Value
$30
PnL
+$21
Record
65%
123539-66052 (189591)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$8.68
Value
—
PnL
-$8.68
Record
65%
20576-11237 (31813)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$9.9
Value
$11.79
PnL
+$1.89
Record
63%
50616-29893 (80509)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$6.93
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.07
Record
66%
123770-63721 (187491)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5919021a...2cb7a2
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793102100