Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Up 50%
$71.61
$0.33
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.1¢ | $19.68 | — | -$19.68 | 63% 50616-29893 (80509) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 35.4¢ | $21.19 | $48.11 | +$26.92 | 55% 43574-35987 (79561) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $28.79 | — | -$8.99 | 65% 20576-11237 (31813) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $2.53 | $11.5 | +$8.97 | 61% 93252-58615 (151867) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $8.7 | — | -$8.7 | 65% 123539-66052 (189591) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 82.5¢ | $8.25 | — | -$8.25 | 66% 123770-63721 (187491) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $1.89 | $7 | +$5.11 | 52% 88790-83234 (172024) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | $5 | +$4.95 | 62% 43453-26357 (69810) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$19.68
Value
—
PnL
-$19.68
Record
63%
50616-29893 (80509)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$21.19
Value
$48.11
PnL
+$26.92
Record
55%
43574-35987 (79561)
Invested
$28.79
Value
—
PnL
-$8.99
Record
65%
20576-11237 (31813)
Invested
$2.53
Value
$11.5
PnL
+$8.97
Record
61%
93252-58615 (151867)
Invested
$8.7
Value
—
PnL
-$8.7
Record
65%
123539-66052 (189591)
Invested
$8.25
Value
—
PnL
-$8.25
Record
66%
123770-63721 (187491)
Invested
$1.89
Value
$7
PnL
+$5.11
Record
52%
88790-83234 (172024)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
$5
PnL
+$4.95
Record
62%
43453-26357 (69810)
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