Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Down 63%

Total Value

$30.46

Combined PnL

-$50.61

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders

Total Value$30.46

Total Shares30

Combined PnL+$14.64

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares77

Combined PnL-$65.25

Up — 38%Down — 62%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 53.6¢	$11.34	$18.25	+$6.92	63% 50605-29885 (80490)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 49.7¢	$19.83	—	-$19.83	68% 98383-46651 (145034)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 70.9¢	$21.85	—	-$21.85	66% 111116-57341 (168457)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 59¢	$8.52	—	-$8.52	65% 20534-11219 (31753)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Downavg 91.5¢	$9.35	—	-$9.35	66% 123735-63707 (187442)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 43.5¢	$4.4	$10.13	+$5.73	55% 43553-35965 (79518)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 96.7¢	$5.7	—	-$5.7	61% 93231-58595 (151826)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100	Upavg 4¢	$0.08	$2.08	+$2	48% 22898-24907 (47805)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$11.34

Value

$18.25

PnL

+$6.92

Record

63%

50605-29885 (80490)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$19.83

Value

—

PnL

-$19.83

Record

68%

98383-46651 (145034)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$21.85

Value

—

PnL

-$21.85

Record

66%

111116-57341 (168457)

Invested

$8.52

Value

—

PnL

-$8.52

Record

65%

20534-11219 (31753)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Invested

$9.35

Value

—

PnL

-$9.35

Record

66%

123735-63707 (187442)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$4.4

Value

$10.13

PnL

+$5.73

Record

55%

43553-35965 (79518)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$5.7

Value

—

PnL

-$5.7

Record

61%

93231-58595 (151826)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100

Invested

$0.08

Value

$2.08

PnL

+$2

Record

48%

22898-24907 (47805)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID

0x422f1353...e13d67

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1793092500

Traders in this Market

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $18.25

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

antsaslyku

Down — $0

aaa221

Down — $0

asdaefef

Down — $0

MayorMamdani

Up — $10.13

asidjasiodja

Down — $0

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $2.08

Trade on Polymarket