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UpDownUpDownDown Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$23.78
Combined PnL
-$0.02
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares21
Combined PnL-$4.38
Down3 traders
Total Value$23.78
Total Shares24
Combined PnL+$4.36
Up β 40%Down β 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 33Β’ | $4.2 | β | -$4.2 | 68% 98383-46651 (145034) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 67Β’ | $8.53 | $12.73 | +$4.2 | 65% 20534-11219 (31753) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.1Β’ | $0.18 | β | -$0.18 | 59% 61770-42691 (104461) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 52% 88772-83208 (171980) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $4.95 | $5.05 | +$0.1 | 66% 123735-63707 (187442) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
β
PnL
-$4.2
Record
68%
98383-46651 (145034)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$8.53
Value
$12.73
PnL
+$4.2
Record
65%
20534-11219 (31753)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.18
Value
β
PnL
-$0.18
Record
59%
61770-42691 (104461)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
52%
88772-83208 (171980)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.1
Record
66%
123735-63707 (187442)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x85ea8c6b...7bcd52
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793092200