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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

Total Value

$90.66

Combined PnL

-$5.2

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$90.66

Total Shares91

Combined PnL+$20.79

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares50

Combined PnL-$25.99

Down — 44%Up — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 43.8¢	$37.45	$57.53	+$20.08	66% 111116-57341 (168457)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 71.1¢	$19.26	$16	-$3.26	68% 98383-46651 (145034)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 47¢	$9.03	—	-$9.03	55% 43553-35965 (79518)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 47¢	$5.64	—	-$5.64	52% 88772-83208 (171980)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Upavg 18¢	$1.98	—	-$1.98	63% 50605-29885 (80490)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 75.1¢	$8.35	$11.12	+$2.77	66% 123735-63707 (187442)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 65¢	$6.69	—	-$6.69	65% 20534-11219 (31753)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 80¢	$4.8	$6	+$1.2	65% 123512-66036 (189548)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 47¢	$2.66	—	-$2.66	61% 93231-58595 (151826)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$37.45

Value

$57.53

PnL

+$20.08

Record

66%

111116-57341 (168457)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$19.26

Value

$16

PnL

-$3.26

Record

68%

98383-46651 (145034)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$9.03

Value

—

PnL

-$9.03

Record

55%

43553-35965 (79518)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$5.64

Value

—

PnL

-$5.64

Record

52%

88772-83208 (171980)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100

Invested

$1.98

Value

—

PnL

-$1.98

Record

63%

50605-29885 (80490)

Invested

$8.35

Value

$11.12

PnL

+$2.77

Record

66%

123735-63707 (187442)

Invested

$6.69

Value

—

PnL

-$6.69

Record

65%

20534-11219 (31753)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$4.8

Value

$6

PnL

+$1.2

Record

65%

123512-66036 (189548)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$2.66

Value

—

PnL

-$2.66

Record

61%

93231-58595 (151826)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x3336b364...8cd394

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1793091600

Traders in this Market

antsaslyku

Down — $57.53

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $16

MayorMamdani

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $0

asdaefef

Down — $11.12

aaa221

Up — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $6

asidjasiodja

Up — $0

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