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UpDownDownUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$33.87
Combined PnL
-$12.91
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$33.87
Total Shares34
Combined PnL-$1.93
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares22
Combined PnL-$10.98
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 90.6¢ | $32.86 | $27 | -$5.86 | 66% 123643-63650 (187293) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 46.7¢ | $5.57 | — | -$5.57 | 68% 98276-46564 (144840) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 66% 111044-57268 (168312) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 42.8¢ | $2.94 | $6.88 | +$3.94 | 52% 88693-83140 (171833) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $0.42 | — | -$0.42 | 55% 43472-35889 (79361) |
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$32.86
Value
$27
PnL
-$5.86
Record
66%
123643-63650 (187293)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$5.57
Value
—
PnL
-$5.57
Record
68%
98276-46564 (144840)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
66%
111044-57268 (168312)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$2.94
Value
$6.88
PnL
+$3.94
Record
52%
88693-83140 (171833)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.42
Value
—
PnL
-$0.42
Record
55%
43472-35889 (79361)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf0a65b94...5b760d
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793081100