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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$78
Combined PnL
$26.47
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$78
Total Shares78
Combined PnL+$26.49
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares2
Combined PnL-$0.02
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 58.5¢ | $30.59 | $50 | +$19.41 | 57% 72544-55201 (127745) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $8.25 | $10 | +$4.85 | 64% 25897-14422 (40319) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $12.87 | $13 | +$0.13 | 93% 24866-1838 (26704) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $2.9 | $5 | +$2.1 | 46% 484-561 (1045) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.02 | — | -$0.02 | 65% 113036-59840 (172876) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$30.59
Value
$50
PnL
+$19.41
Record
57%
72544-55201 (127745)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$8.25
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.85
Record
64%
25897-14422 (40319)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$12.87
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.13
Record
93%
24866-1838 (26704)
0X
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100Invested
$2.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.1
Record
46%
484-561 (1045)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
65%
113036-59840 (172876)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x28c72fde...3ee34a
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793628000