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DownUpUpDownDown
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$144.44
Combined PnL
-$92.46
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares264
Combined PnL-$114.81
Up2 traders
Total Value$144.44
Total Shares144
Combined PnL+$22.35
Down — 67%Up — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR | Downavg 45.5¢ | $108.71 | — | -$108.71 | 47% 482-554 (1036) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 74.7¢ | $85.85 | $115 | +$29.15 | 57% 72399-55086 (127485) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 63.1¢ | $46.08 | $29.44 | -$6.8 | 64% 25745-14302 (40047) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 56% 58877-45483 (104360) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $1.45 | — | -$1.45 | 52% 91728-86094 (177822) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 18.5¢ | $1.85 | — | -$1.85 | 46% 6106-7046 (13152) |
0X
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTRInvested
$108.71
Value
—
PnL
-$108.71
Record
47%
482-554 (1036)
UN
uninformedflowwInvested
$85.85
Value
$115
PnL
+$29.15
Record
57%
72399-55086 (127485)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$46.08
Value
$29.44
PnL
-$6.8
Record
64%
25745-14302 (40047)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
56%
58877-45483 (104360)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.45
Value
—
PnL
-$1.45
Record
52%
91728-86094 (177822)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.85
Value
—
PnL
-$1.85
Record
46%
6106-7046 (13152)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb417c3ff...dac866
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793614500