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DownUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpUp
ohioism<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$139.39
Combined PnL
-$40.94
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$139.39
Total Shares139
Combined PnL+$14.77
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares134
Combined PnL-$55.71
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 47.7¢ | $121.52 | $129.39 | +$7.87 | 57% 71362-54385 (125747) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.9¢ | $8.98 | — | -$8.98 | 66% 112365-59078 (171443) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.3¢ | $9.65 | — | -$9.65 | 63% 52240-31232 (83472) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 54.1¢ | $43.84 | — | -$37.08 | 64% 24226-13368 (37594) |
ohioism<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $3.1 | $10 | +$6.9 | 64% 40407-23120 (63527) |
UN
uninformedflowwInvested
$121.52
Value
$129.39
PnL
+$7.87
Record
57%
71362-54385 (125747)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$8.98
Value
—
PnL
-$8.98
Record
66%
112365-59078 (171443)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$9.65
Value
—
PnL
-$9.65
Record
63%
52240-31232 (83472)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$43.84
Value
—
PnL
-$37.08
Record
64%
24226-13368 (37594)
ohioism<$100Invested
$3.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$6.9
Record
64%
40407-23120 (63527)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x754c6678...6ebd83
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793477700