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UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownUpUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$96.1
Combined PnL
-$7.08
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares120
Combined PnL-$13.74
Up2 traders
Total Value$96.1
Total Shares96
Combined PnL+$6.66
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 12.6¢ | $11.52 | — | -$11.52 | 63% 52240-31232 (83472) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 90.6¢ | $45.43 | $50.14 | +$4.71 | 57% 71362-54385 (125747) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 95.8¢ | $44 | $45.96 | +$1.95 | 64% 24226-13368 (37594) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.6¢ | $1.92 | — | -$1.92 | 52% 90910-85451 (176361) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 66% 112365-59078 (171443) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$11.52
Value
—
PnL
-$11.52
Record
63%
52240-31232 (83472)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$45.43
Value
$50.14
PnL
+$4.71
Record
57%
71362-54385 (125747)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$44
Value
$45.96
PnL
+$1.95
Record
64%
24226-13368 (37594)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.92
Value
—
PnL
-$1.92
Record
52%
90910-85451 (176361)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
66%
112365-59078 (171443)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x70703404...663e2a
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793476800