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DownDownDownDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Up
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$176.5
Combined PnL
$30.78
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$176.5
Total Shares177
Combined PnL+$35.03
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares36
Combined PnL-$4.25
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 79.8¢ | $80.2 | $100.52 | +$20.32 | 57% 71362-54385 (125747) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 79.2¢ | $39.71 | $31.99 | +$10.31 | 64% 24226-13368 (37594) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $28.67 | $31.86 | +$3.19 | 56% 58403-45070 (103473) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $10.92 | $12.13 | +$1.21 | 52% 90910-85451 (176361) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.8¢ | $4.25 | — | -$4.25 | 63% 52240-31232 (83472) |
UN
uninformedflowwInvested
$80.2
Value
$100.52
PnL
+$20.32
Record
57%
71362-54385 (125747)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$39.71
Value
$31.99
PnL
+$10.31
Record
64%
24226-13368 (37594)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$28.67
Value
$31.86
PnL
+$3.19
Record
56%
58403-45070 (103473)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$10.92
Value
$12.13
PnL
+$1.21
Record
52%
90910-85451 (176361)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.25
Value
—
PnL
-$4.25
Record
63%
52240-31232 (83472)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x13eb489b...591842
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793475900