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DownDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpDownUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$146.32
Combined PnL
-$119.34
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$146.32
Total Shares146
Combined PnL-$10.07
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares317
Combined PnL-$109.27
Down — 43%Up — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819 | Downavg 88¢ | $88 | $100 | +$12 | 46% 461-531 (992) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 91.9¢ | $73.47 | $37.14 | -$22.08 | 64% 24172-13343 (37515) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.5¢ | $9.3 | — | -$9.3 | 63% 52223-31187 (83410) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $9.17 | $9.18 | +$0.01 | 59% 62507-43629 (106136) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.1¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 52% 90876-85429 (176305) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 68.2¢ | $78.45 | — | -$78.45 | 57% 71318-54356 (125674) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 21.7¢ | $17.92 | — | -$17.92 | 66% 112359-59057 (171416) |
0X
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819Invested
$88
Value
$100
PnL
+$12
Record
46%
461-531 (992)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$73.47
Value
$37.14
PnL
-$22.08
Record
64%
24172-13343 (37515)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$9.3
Value
—
PnL
-$9.3
Record
63%
52223-31187 (83410)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$9.17
Value
$9.18
PnL
+$0.01
Record
59%
62507-43629 (106136)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
52%
90876-85429 (176305)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$78.45
Value
—
PnL
-$78.45
Record
57%
71318-54356 (125674)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$17.92
Value
—
PnL
-$17.92
Record
66%
112359-59057 (171416)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xad3d526c...d5bfa4
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793465100