Back to Markets
UpUpUpDownDownDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$186.24
Combined PnL
-$64.07
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$186.24
Total Shares186
Combined PnL-$40.82
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares92
Combined PnL-$23.25
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 78¢ | $132.44 | $106.46 | -$25.98 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 78.8¢ | $95.47 | $43.75 | -$14.87 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $35.99 | $36.03 | +$0.04 | 59% 62464-43615 (106079) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 27.3¢ | $11.46 | — | -$11.46 | 66% 112343-59004 (171347) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 58% 60787-44362 (105149) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.8¢ | $6.99 | — | -$6.99 | 63% 52187-31091 (83278) |
UN
uninformedflowwInvested
$132.44
Value
$106.46
PnL
-$25.98
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$95.47
Value
$43.75
PnL
-$14.87
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$35.99
Value
$36.03
PnL
+$0.04
Record
59%
62464-43615 (106079)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$11.46
Value
—
PnL
-$11.46
Record
66%
112343-59004 (171347)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
58%
60787-44362 (105149)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$6.99
Value
—
PnL
-$6.99
Record
63%
52187-31091 (83278)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xdf17f82b...7db28f
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793457900