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DownUpDownUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$46.56
Combined PnL
$4.82
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$46.56
Total Shares47
Combined PnL+$14.52
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares30
Combined PnL-$9.7
Down — 33%Up — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 59.5¢ | $19.45 | $30.37 | +$10.92 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $7.25 | — | -$7.25 | 52% 90788-85318 (176106) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $13.62 | $16.18 | +$3.59 | 64% 23991-13230 (37221) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 58% 60765-44349 (105114) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $0.4 | — | -$0.4 | 62% 43966-26982 (70948) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112335-58986 (171321) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$19.45
Value
$30.37
PnL
+$10.92
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$7.25
Value
—
PnL
-$7.25
Record
52%
90788-85318 (176106)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$13.62
Value
$16.18
PnL
+$3.59
Record
64%
23991-13230 (37221)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
58%
60765-44349 (105114)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.4
Value
—
PnL
-$0.4
Record
62%
43966-26982 (70948)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112335-58986 (171321)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x78bab17b...139802
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793455200