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DownUpUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDown
BoneOhio<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 50%
Total Value
$115.17
Combined PnL
-$20.42
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares174
Combined PnL-$66.61
Up3 traders
Total Value$115.17
Total Shares115
Combined PnL+$46.19
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.3¢ | $55.67 | — | -$55.67 | 66% 112280-58767 (171047) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 64.3¢ | $76.44 | $88.27 | +$35.92 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $14.75 | $25 | +$10.25 | 56% 58191-44916 (103107) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 21.4¢ | $4.51 | — | -$4.51 | 63% 52043-30715 (82758) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $6.43 | — | -$6.43 | 52% 90518-85062 (175580) |
BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $1.88 | $1.9 | +$0.02 | 74% 102628-36442 (139070) |
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$55.67
Value
—
PnL
-$55.67
Record
66%
112280-58767 (171047)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$76.44
Value
$88.27
PnL
+$35.92
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$14.75
Value
$25
PnL
+$10.25
Record
56%
58191-44916 (103107)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.51
Value
—
PnL
-$4.51
Record
63%
52043-30715 (82758)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$6.43
Value
—
PnL
-$6.43
Record
52%
90518-85062 (175580)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$1.88
Value
$1.9
PnL
+$0.02
Record
74%
102628-36442 (139070)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5c2f2250...7ac848
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793403900