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DownUpDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$33.34
Combined PnL
-$38.95
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares122
Combined PnL-$56.9
Up2 traders
Total Value$33.34
Total Shares33
Combined PnL+$17.95
Down — 67%Up — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 25.2¢ | $12.23 | — | -$12.23 | 56% 58191-44916 (103107) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $14.89 | $31.68 | +$16.79 | 66% 112280-58767 (171047) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 54.4¢ | $41.08 | — | -$38.62 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 16¢ | $3.26 | — | -$3.26 | 63% 52043-30715 (82758) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 13.4¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 52% 90518-85062 (175580) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $0.5 | $1.66 | +$1.16 | 58% 60661-44284 (104945) |
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$12.23
Value
—
PnL
-$12.23
Record
56%
58191-44916 (103107)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$14.89
Value
$31.68
PnL
+$16.79
Record
66%
112280-58767 (171047)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$41.08
Value
—
PnL
-$38.62
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.26
Value
—
PnL
-$3.26
Record
63%
52043-30715 (82758)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
52%
90518-85062 (175580)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100Invested
$0.5
Value
$1.66
PnL
+$1.16
Record
58%
60661-44284 (104945)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd1c5e51b...7d551d
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793402100