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UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpUp
ohioism<$100UpDownDownDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$61.87
Combined PnL
$2.85
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$61.87
Total Shares62
Combined PnL+$5.35
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares46
Combined PnL-$2.49
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 97.6¢ | $23.67 | $24.24 | +$0.57 | 63% 51856-30563 (82419) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 85.4¢ | $23.6 | $27.63 | +$4.03 | 64% 23076-12710 (35786) |
ohioism<$100 | Upavg 92.5¢ | $9.25 | $10 | +$0.75 | 64% 40076-22914 (62990) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.7¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 52% 90236-84735 (174971) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 0.8¢ | $0.09 | — | -$0.09 | 68% 99316-47652 (146968) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 66% 112118-58522 (170640) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $0.96 | — | -$0.96 | 62% 43761-26770 (70531) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$23.67
Value
$24.24
PnL
+$0.57
Record
63%
51856-30563 (82419)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$23.6
Value
$27.63
PnL
+$4.03
Record
64%
23076-12710 (35786)
ohioism<$100Invested
$9.25
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.75
Record
64%
40076-22914 (62990)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
52%
90236-84735 (174971)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$0.09
Value
—
PnL
-$0.09
Record
68%
99316-47652 (146968)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
66%
112118-58522 (170640)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.96
Value
—
PnL
-$0.96
Record
62%
43761-26770 (70531)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2c0797ab...f0ce8a
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793357100