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DownUp
UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$65.33
Combined PnL
$16.86
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$65.33
Total Shares65
Combined PnL+$42.25
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares41
Combined PnL-$25.39
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 41.6¢ | $34.62 | $47.57 | +$41.06 | 64% 22980-12672 (35652) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.1¢ | $19.82 | — | -$19.82 | 52% 90179-84671 (174850) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 93.3¢ | $16.56 | $17.76 | +$1.2 | 63% 51816-30540 (82356) |
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5CTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $5.52 | — | -$5.52 | 46% 7844-9262 (17106) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112081-58477 (170558) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$34.62
Value
$47.57
PnL
+$41.06
Record
64%
22980-12672 (35652)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$19.82
Value
—
PnL
-$19.82
Record
52%
90179-84671 (174850)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$16.56
Value
$17.76
PnL
+$1.2
Record
63%
51816-30540 (82356)
0D
0x0d2d...7ff5CTR<$100Invested
$5.52
Value
—
PnL
-$5.52
Record
46%
7844-9262 (17106)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112081-58477 (170558)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6500e78a...84e1c8
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793341800