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Down
UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$30.97
Combined PnL
-$9.06
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares156
Combined PnL-$13.42
Up2 traders
Total Value$30.97
Total Shares31
Combined PnL+$4.36
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $4.31 | — | -$4.31 | 65% 22283-12231 (34514) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 96.7¢ | $16.88 | $17.46 | +$0.58 | 63% 51496-30306 (81802) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $9.73 | $13.51 | +$3.78 | 66% 111803-58146 (169949) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 5.8¢ | $7.61 | — | -$7.61 | 68% 99024-47353 (146377) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 52% 89734-84193 (173927) |
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$4.31
Value
—
PnL
-$4.31
Record
65%
22283-12231 (34514)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$16.88
Value
$17.46
PnL
+$0.58
Record
63%
51496-30306 (81802)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$9.73
Value
$13.51
PnL
+$3.78
Record
66%
111803-58146 (169949)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$7.61
Value
—
PnL
-$7.61
Record
68%
99024-47353 (146377)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
52%
89734-84193 (173927)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x50a3da46...1026aa
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793259000