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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

7

Down 57%

Total Value

$137.27

Combined PnL

-$73.58

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders

Total Value$137.27

Total Shares137

Combined PnL+$49.05

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares620

Combined PnL-$122.63

Up — 43%Down — 57%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 69.3¢	$48.93	$63.42	+$14.49	66% 111604-57865 (169469)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 48.2¢	$33.88	$59.99	+$31.23	65% 21925-12064 (33989)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100	Downavg 69.6¢	$49.99	—	-$49.99	58% 12529-9180 (21709)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100	Downavg 10.7¢	$54.26	—	-$54.26	47% 398-457 (855)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 67.7¢	$17.18	—	-$17.18	56% 57656-44547 (102203)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 76¢	$10.53	$13.86	+$3.33	63% 51338-30220 (81558)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 7¢	$1.2	—	-$1.2	52% 89542-84009 (173551)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$48.93

Value

$63.42

PnL

+$14.49

Record

66%

111604-57865 (169469)

Invested

$33.88

Value

$59.99

PnL

+$31.23

Record

65%

21925-12064 (33989)

wowitsamazingCTR<$100

Invested

$49.99

Value

—

PnL

-$49.99

Record

58%

12529-9180 (21709)

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100

Invested

$54.26

Value

—

PnL

-$54.26

Record

47%

398-457 (855)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$17.18

Value

—

PnL

-$17.18

Record

56%

57656-44547 (102203)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$10.53

Value

$13.86

PnL

+$3.33

Record

63%

51338-30220 (81558)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

52%

89542-84009 (173551)

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x080c6741...3c2f3e

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1793231100

Traders in this Market

antsaslyku

Up — $63.42

aaa221

Up — $59.99

wowitsamazing

Down — $0

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

Down — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $13.86

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

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