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Up
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Down
BoneOhioCTR<$100UpUpUp
ohioism<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$26.24
Combined PnL
-$63.87
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares159
Combined PnL-$76.42
Down2 traders
Total Value$26.24
Total Shares26
Combined PnL+$12.55
Up — 67%Down — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.7¢ | $31.85 | — | -$31.85 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 77.5¢ | $12.59 | $16.24 | +$3.65 | 63% 51234-30144 (81378) |
BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $22.07 | — | -$22.07 | 74% 102141-36314 (138455) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 51.5¢ | $23.65 | — | -$19.2 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.2¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 52% 89418-83862 (173280) |
ohioism<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $1.1 | $10 | +$8.9 | 64% 39724-22691 (62415) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$31.85
Value
—
PnL
-$31.85
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$12.59
Value
$16.24
PnL
+$3.65
Record
63%
51234-30144 (81378)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$22.07
Value
—
PnL
-$22.07
Record
74%
102141-36314 (138455)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$23.65
Value
—
PnL
-$19.2
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
52%
89418-83862 (173280)
ohioism<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$8.9
Record
64%
39724-22691 (62415)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcd3ef24a...c783a4
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793209500