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UpDownDown
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Up
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100DownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 67%
Total Value
$75.48
Combined PnL
-$1.02
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$75.48
Total Shares75
Combined PnL+$9.31
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares57
Combined PnL-$10.33
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 76.4¢ | $55.12 | $59.99 | +$7.38 | 65% 21630-11888 (33518) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 17.6¢ | $4.57 | — | -$4.57 | 56% 57568-44448 (102016) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $2.27 | — | -$2.27 | 57% 69807-53034 (122841) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $12.85 | $14.78 | +$1.93 | 63% 51186-30116 (81302) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $2.3 | — | -$2.3 | 62% 43576-26505 (70081) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 52% 89352-83806 (173158) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $0.7 | $0.71 | +$0.01 | 59% 61967-43004 (104971) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$55.12
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$7.38
Record
65%
21630-11888 (33518)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$4.57
Value
—
PnL
-$4.57
Record
56%
57568-44448 (102016)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$2.27
Value
—
PnL
-$2.27
Record
57%
69807-53034 (122841)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$12.85
Value
$14.78
PnL
+$1.93
Record
63%
51186-30116 (81302)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.3
Value
—
PnL
-$2.3
Record
62%
43576-26505 (70081)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
52%
89352-83806 (173158)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
$0.71
PnL
+$0.01
Record
59%
61967-43004 (104971)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4da20991...a2edfb
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793197800