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UpDown
UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownUpUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$54.65
Combined PnL
-$45.49
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares123
Combined PnL-$59.84
Down3 traders
Total Value$54.65
Total Shares55
Combined PnL+$14.35
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $58.54 | — | -$58.54 | 57% 69767-53019 (122786) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 66.9¢ | $16.98 | $25.39 | +$8.41 | 58% 60094-43864 (103958) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 83.1¢ | $20.17 | $24.26 | +$4.09 | 63% 51166-30114 (81280) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 52% 89316-83776 (173092) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 66% 111532-57780 (169312) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $3.15 | $5 | +$1.85 | 56% 57551-44443 (101994) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$58.54
Value
—
PnL
-$58.54
Record
57%
69767-53019 (122786)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100Invested
$16.98
Value
$25.39
PnL
+$8.41
Record
58%
60094-43864 (103958)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$20.17
Value
$24.26
PnL
+$4.09
Record
63%
51166-30114 (81280)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
52%
89316-83776 (173092)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
66%
111532-57780 (169312)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$3.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.85
Record
56%
57551-44443 (101994)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf04f0777...d3bec2
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793193300