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Up
UpandDownSyndromeCTRUp
G-Penis-Monster<$100DownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$64.03
Combined PnL
-$153.79
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares232
Combined PnL-$214.11
Down1 trader
Total Value$64.03
Total Shares64
Combined PnL+$60.32
Up — 80%Down — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 76.2¢ | $64.35 | — | -$64.35 | 68% 98423-46705 (145128) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR | Upavg 88.2¢ | $105.8 | — | -$105.8 | 63% 50639-29898 (80537) |
G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 5.8¢ | $3.71 | $64.03 | +$60.32 | 62% 43457-26365 (69822) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 67.2¢ | $53.75 | — | -$35.65 | 65% 20619-11265 (31884) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $8.31 | — | -$8.31 | 52% 88816-83270 (172086) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$64.35
Value
—
PnL
-$64.35
Record
68%
98423-46705 (145128)
UpandDownSyndromeCTRInvested
$105.8
Value
—
PnL
-$105.8
Record
63%
50639-29898 (80537)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$3.71
Value
$64.03
PnL
+$60.32
Record
62%
43457-26365 (69822)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$53.75
Value
—
PnL
-$35.65
Record
65%
20619-11265 (31884)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$8.31
Value
—
PnL
-$8.31
Record
52%
88816-83270 (172086)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb590150b...cbe4e2
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793105100