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UpUpUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down on October 28?
Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$7.2
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 5 top traders (100%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares10
Combined PnL-$7.2
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN Anon455CTR<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $7.2 | — | -$7.2 | 56% 2627-2078 (4705) |
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452CTR<$100 | Upavg 66.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 2335-1260 (3595) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 49241-39490 (88731) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 50030-40647 (90677) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 71.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 47994-39590 (87584) |
AN
Anon455CTR<$100Invested
$7.2
Value
—
PnL
-$7.2
Record
56%
2627-2078 (4705)
0X
0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
2335-1260 (3595)
BO
bosonaCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
49241-39490 (88731)
MO
mo-moneyCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
50030-40647 (90677)
AL
almachCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
47994-39590 (87584)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xab6bbf91...68447c
Slug
xrp-up-or-down-on-october-28-2026