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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down on November 15?
Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Down 50%
Total Value
$338.72
Combined PnL
-$828.29
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 6 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares381
Combined PnL-$115.41
Down2 traders
Total Value$338.72
Total Shares339
Combined PnL-$712.88
Up — 67%Down — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EA Eager47259CTR | Upavg 71.4¢ | $287.23 | — | -$272.2 | 49% 224-236 (460) |
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Downavg 87.2¢ | $3.0K | $322.62 | -$719.64 | 68% 214-103 (317) |
MO mo-moneyCTR | Upavg 8¢ | $107.29 | — | +$55.02 | 52% 1673-1561 (3234) |
SU suntori<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $9.34 | $16.1 | +$6.76 | 46% 3282-3819 (7101) |
BO bosonaCTR | Upavg 77.8¢ | $368.84 | — | +$50.38 | 51% 4911-4688 (9599) |
AL almachCTR | Upavg 79¢ | $289.38 | — | +$51.39 | 51% 1661-1571 (3232) |
EA
Eager47259CTRInvested
$287.23
Value
—
PnL
-$272.2
Record
49%
224-236 (460)
0X
0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Invested
$3,007.6
Value
$322.62
PnL
-$719.64
Record
68%
214-103 (317)
MO
mo-moneyCTRInvested
$107.29
Value
—
PnL
+$55.02
Record
52%
1673-1561 (3234)
SU
suntori<$100Invested
$9.34
Value
$16.1
PnL
+$6.76
Record
46%
3282-3819 (7101)
BO
bosonaCTRInvested
$368.84
Value
—
PnL
+$50.38
Record
51%
4911-4688 (9599)
AL
almachCTRInvested
$289.38
Value
—
PnL
+$51.39
Record
51%
1661-1571 (3232)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xaae19440...57e31b
Slug
xrp-up-or-down-on-november-15-2026