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UpUpUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down on November 14?
Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$11.46
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 5 top traders (100%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares249
Combined PnL+$11.46
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EA Eager47259CTR<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $94.47 | — | -$94.47 | 50% 196-197 (393) |
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452CTR | Upavg 9.5¢ | $833.89 | — | +$154.11 | 68% 182-84 (266) |
AL almachCTR | Upavg 4.8¢ | $200.42 | — | -$15.8 | 51% 1368-1337 (2705) |
MO mo-moneyCTR | Upavg 7.5¢ | $207.71 | — | -$14.33 | 50% 1358-1358 (2716) |
BO bosonaCTR | Upavg 9.8¢ | $264.5 | — | -$18.05 | 51% 4610-4467 (9077) |
EA
Eager47259CTR<$100Invested
$94.47
Value
—
PnL
-$94.47
Record
50%
196-197 (393)
0X
0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452CTRInvested
$833.89
Value
—
PnL
+$154.11
Record
68%
182-84 (266)
AL
almachCTRInvested
$200.42
Value
—
PnL
-$15.8
Record
51%
1368-1337 (2705)
MO
mo-moneyCTRInvested
$207.71
Value
—
PnL
-$14.33
Record
50%
1358-1358 (2716)
BO
bosonaCTRInvested
$264.5
Value
—
PnL
-$18.05
Record
51%
4610-4467 (9077)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xae10d9c2...3d658a
Slug
xrp-up-or-down-on-november-14-2026