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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 16, 3AM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 83%
Total Value
$6.2
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 6 top traders (83%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb2e5e823...fe4a03
Slug
xrp-up-or-down-october-16-2026-3am-et