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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 15, 11PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$140.33
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x311ec12a...64f911
Slug
xrp-up-or-down-october-15-2026-11pm-et