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YesNoYesYes
viniiCTR<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on November 9?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
4
No 50%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$155.54
Combined PnL
-$4.64
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 4 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares17
Combined PnL-$5.88
Yes2 traders
Total Value$10.85
Total Shares11
Combined PnL+$1.24
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452ARB<$100 | Yesavg 94.7¢ | $774.54 | $144.69 | +$88.07 | 69% 5131-2295 (7426) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 94.7¢ | $137.1 | $144.69 | +$57.13 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 32.9¢ | $23.21 | — | +$30.94 | |
EA Eager47259CTR | Noavg 35.4¢ | $178.76 | — | -$5.88 | 39% 503-771 (1274) |
0X 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7<$100 | Yesavg 67.9¢ | $7.15 | $10.54 | +$1.12 | 33% 1273-2598 (3871) |
TO Tokor<$100 | Yesavg 62.1¢ | $0.19 | $0.3 | +$0.11 | 63% 958-570 (1528) |
viniiCTR<$100 | Noavg 5.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 74% 3348-1188 (4536) |
0X
0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452ARB<$100Invested
$774.54
Value
$144.69
PnL
+$88.07
Record
69%
5131-2295 (7426)
Both legs:
Yes$137.194.7¢+$57.13
No$23.2132.9¢+$30.94
EA
Eager47259CTRInvested
$178.76
Value
—
PnL
-$5.88
Record
39%
503-771 (1274)
0X
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7<$100Invested
$7.15
Value
$10.54
PnL
+$1.12
Record
33%
1273-2598 (3871)
TO
Tokor<$100Invested
$0.19
Value
$0.3
PnL
+$0.11
Record
63%
958-570 (1528)
viniiCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
74%
3348-1188 (4536)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8568d315...829e52
Slug
xrp-above-1pt1-on-november-9-2026