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UpDownDown
G-Penis-Monster<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Gold Up or Down - November 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$96.03
Combined PnL
-$110.13
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$96.03
Total Shares96
Combined PnL+$32.95
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares298
Combined PnL-$143.08
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189 | Upavg 62.2¢ | $109.86 | $96.03 | +$32.95 | 48% 2191-2368 (4559) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 34.4¢ | $101.9 | — | -$76.55 | 49% 624-641 (1265) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $9.61 | — | -$9.61 | 50% 437-429 (866) |
G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 29.6¢ | $7.4 | — | -$7.4 | 44% 1290-1624 (2914) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 64.2¢ | $177.46 | — | -$49.52 | 54% 1563-1340 (2903) |
38
38791873984189Invested
$109.86
Value
$96.03
PnL
+$32.95
Record
48%
2191-2368 (4559)
PE
peepeepoopoo24Invested
$101.9
Value
—
PnL
-$76.55
Record
49%
624-641 (1265)
PB
PBot-6<$100Invested
$9.61
Value
—
PnL
-$9.61
Record
50%
437-429 (866)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$7.4
Value
—
PnL
-$7.4
Record
44%
1290-1624 (2914)
PL
ply-pm2Invested
$177.46
Value
—
PnL
-$49.52
Record
54%
1563-1340 (2903)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x86d02895...7dedee
Slug
xau-updown-15m-1794498300