Back to Markets
UpUpDownUpDown
ohioismCTR<$100UpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Gold Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$258.69
Combined PnL
-$2.67
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares283
Combined PnL-$211.06
Down3 traders
Total Value$258.69
Total Shares259
Combined PnL+$208.39
Up — 57%Down — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR | Upavg 50.5¢ | $128.79 | — | -$121.49 | 49% 570-602 (1172) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 67.6¢ | $57.25 | — | -$57.25 | 53% 1437-1267 (2704) |
38 38791873984189 | Downavg 16.3¢ | $37.2 | $228.69 | +$191.49 | 48% 2064-2270 (4334) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $22.92 | — | -$22.92 | 50% 396-392 (788) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $8.8 | $20 | +$11.2 | 47% 1200-1358 (2558) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $9.4 | — | -$9.4 | 48% 1183-1263 (2446) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $4.3 | $10 | +$5.7 | 46% 1152-1359 (2511) |
PE
peepeepoopoo24CTRInvested
$128.79
Value
—
PnL
-$121.49
Record
49%
570-602 (1172)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$57.25
Value
—
PnL
-$57.25
Record
53%
1437-1267 (2704)
38
38791873984189Invested
$37.2
Value
$228.69
PnL
+$191.49
Record
48%
2064-2270 (4334)
PB
PBot-6CTR<$100Invested
$22.92
Value
—
PnL
-$22.92
Record
50%
396-392 (788)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100Invested
$8.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$11.2
Record
47%
1200-1358 (2558)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$9.4
Value
—
PnL
-$9.4
Record
48%
1183-1263 (2446)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$4.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.7
Record
46%
1152-1359 (2511)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x89c97e7b...9812c5
Slug
xau-updown-15m-1794478500