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UpDownDown
ohioismCTR<$100Down
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Silver Up or Down - November 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$120.82
Combined PnL
-$67.75
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$120.82
Total Shares121
Combined PnL+$26.08
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares197
Combined PnL-$93.83
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189 | Upavg 78.4¢ | $94.74 | $120.82 | +$26.08 | 48% 2191-2368 (4559) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 73.8¢ | $62.38 | — | -$62.38 | 54% 1563-1340 (2903) |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $26.05 | — | -$26.05 | 49% 624-641 (1265) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 48% 1288-1398 (2686) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 44% 1290-1624 (2914) |
38
38791873984189Invested
$94.74
Value
$120.82
PnL
+$26.08
Record
48%
2191-2368 (4559)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$62.38
Value
—
PnL
-$62.38
Record
54%
1563-1340 (2903)
PE
peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100Invested
$26.05
Value
—
PnL
-$26.05
Record
49%
624-641 (1265)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
48%
1288-1398 (2686)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
44%
1290-1624 (2914)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0d509dba...fa649b
Slug
xag-updown-15m-1794497400