Queretaro: Tamara Zidansek vs Alicia Herrero Linana

11 of 15 top Polymarket traders hold Tamara Zidansek (73%) · Tamara Zidansek at 64¢ · $65K held · ends Nov 5

Tamara Zidansek64¢Alicia Herrero Linana36¢Ends Thu, Nov 5, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Tamara Zidansek

Consensus Traders

Tamara Zidansek 73%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$64.9K

Combined PnL

$-5.3K

Smart Money Entry

60¢ → 63.5¢

+6% since entry · 11 traders

Research grade

NeutralTamara Zidansek at 64%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Tamara Zidansek

11 of 15 top traders (73%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Tamara Zidansek64%

Alicia Herrero Linana37%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Tamara Zidansek11 traders

Total Value$41.2K

Total Shares57,628

Combined PnL+$2.2K

Alicia Herrero Linana4 traders

Total Value$15.5K

Total Shares33,711

Combined PnL$-7.5K

Tamara Zidansek — 73%Alicia Herrero Linana — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1	Tamara Zidansekavg 59.1¢	$28.6K	$31.5K	+$2.9K	54% 56128-48277 (104405)
KK kkookkooCTR	Alicia Herrero Linanaavg 39.7¢	$26.5K	$15.4K	$-7.6K	51% 591-573 (1164)
ZaiZoiBeleARB<$100	Tamara Zidansekavg 67.7¢	$9.0K	$4.1K	-$166.45	80% 5003-1236 (6239)
└ Tamara Zidansek leg	Tamara Zidansekavg 67.7¢	$2.4K	$2.2K	-$256.68
└ Alicia Herrero Linana leg	Alicia Herrero Linanaavg 36.7¢	$1.9K	$1.9K	+$90.23
HO HomeRunHazard	Tamara Zidansekavg 60.1¢	$4.1K	$3.7K	-$416.98	54% 17024-14269 (31293)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100	Tamara Zidansekavg 64.9¢	$2.0K	$2.2K	+$155.98	52% 13694-12504 (26198)
└ Tamara Zidansek leg	Tamara Zidansekavg 64.9¢	$1.6K	$1.6K	-$35.06
└ Alicia Herrero Linana leg	Alicia Herrero Linanaavg 25.7¢	$451.67	$642.72	+$191.05
38 38791873984189ARB<$100	Tamara Zidansekavg 67.4¢	$3.9K	$1.8K	-$51.38	—
└ Tamara Zidansek leg	Tamara Zidansekavg 67.4¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	-$46.82
└ Alicia Herrero Linana leg	Alicia Herrero Linanaavg 36.4¢	$571.42	$573.25	-$4.56
GH ghostorder	Tamara Zidansekavg 61.6¢	$1.5K	$1.3K	-$182.21	62% 4342-2670 (7012)
VeryLucky888	Tamara Zidansekavg 71.5¢	$1.5K	$1.2K	-$330.33	58% 41361-29991 (71352)
TH thestingsnake	Tamara Zidansekavg 65.5¢	$1.2K	$959.7	+$281.54	60% 4025-2706 (6731)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080	Tamara Zidansekavg 61¢	$1.1K	$945	-$122.5	51% 1372-1317 (2689)
EU Eulhunter	Tamara Zidansekavg 59.3¢	$817.84	$875.57	+$57.73	55% 5681-4719 (10400)
poshposh	Tamara Zidansekavg 64¢	$234.18	$289.9	+$55.73	59% 9768-6750 (16518)
latvian.demon	Tamara Zidansekavg 55¢	$274.99	$269.99	-$5	54% 669-570 (1239)
TO topdogbigboiCTR	Alicia Herrero Linanaavg 26.8¢	$65.28	$112.24	+$46.96	—
HRTrading	Tamara Zidansekavg 59.1¢	$109.64	$100.17	-$9.47	52% 3869-3521 (7390)
BI BillBenter2026	Tamara Zidansekavg 80¢	$111.96	$88.9	-$23.06	58% 18531-13609 (32140)
NA NatoAlfistaCTR<$100	Alicia Herrero Linanaavg 27¢	$20.52	$25.08	+$4.56	50% 3767-3745 (7512)
tradecraftCTR<$100	Alicia Herrero Linanaavg 42¢	$2.1	$2.3	+$0.2	51% 5955-5641 (11596)

RN1

Tamara Zidansek

Invested

$28,596.81

Value

$31.5K

PnL

+$2.9K

Record

54%

56128-48277 (104405)

kkookkooCTR

Alicia Herrero Linana

Invested

$26,500

Value

$15.4K

PnL

$-7.6K

Record

51%

591-573 (1164)

ZaiZoiBeleARB<$100

Tamara Zidansek

Invested

$9,043.79

Value

$4.1K

PnL

-$166.45

Record

80%

5003-1236 (6239)

Both legs:

Tamara Zidansek$2,366.7567.7¢-$256.68

Alicia Herrero Linana$1,874.3936.7¢+$90.23

HomeRunHazard

Tamara Zidansek

Invested

$4,110.13

Value

$3.7K

PnL

-$416.98

Record

54%

17024-14269 (31293)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100

Tamara Zidansek

Invested

$2,037.13

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$155.98

Record

52%

13694-12504 (26198)

Both legs:

Tamara Zidansek$1,585.4664.9¢-$35.06

Alicia Herrero Linana$451.6725.7¢+$191.05

38791873984189ARB<$100

Tamara Zidansek

Invested

$3,915.06

Value

$1.8K

PnL

-$51.38

Record

—

Both legs:

Tamara Zidansek$1,346.4867.4¢-$46.82

Alicia Herrero Linana$571.4236.4¢-$4.56

ghostorder

Tamara Zidansek

Invested

$1,479.83

Value

$1.3K

PnL

-$182.21

Record

62%

4342-2670 (7012)

VeryLucky888

Tamara Zidansek

Invested

$1,518.52

Value

$1.2K

PnL

-$330.33

Record

58%

41361-29991 (71352)

thestingsnake

Tamara Zidansek

Invested

$1,206.81

Value

$959.7

PnL

+$281.54

Record

60%

4025-2706 (6731)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080

Tamara Zidansek

Invested

$1,067.5

Value

$945

PnL

-$122.5

Record

51%

1372-1317 (2689)

Eulhunter

Tamara Zidansek

Invested

$817.84

Value

$875.57

PnL

+$57.73

Record

55%

5681-4719 (10400)

poshposh

Tamara Zidansek

Invested

$234.18

Value

$289.9

PnL

+$55.73

Record

59%

9768-6750 (16518)

latvian.demon

Tamara Zidansek

Invested

$274.99

Value

$269.99

PnL

-$5

Record

54%

669-570 (1239)

topdogbigboiCTR

Alicia Herrero Linana

Invested

$65.28

Value

$112.24

PnL

+$46.96

Record

—

HRTrading

Tamara Zidansek

Invested

$109.64

Value

$100.17

PnL

-$9.47

Record

52%

3869-3521 (7390)

BillBenter2026

Tamara Zidansek

Invested

$111.96

Value

$88.9

PnL

-$23.06

Record

58%

18531-13609 (32140)

NatoAlfistaCTR<$100

Alicia Herrero Linana

Invested

$20.52

Value

$25.08

PnL

+$4.56

Record

50%

3767-3745 (7512)

tradecraftCTR<$100

Alicia Herrero Linana

Invested

$2.1

Value

$2.3

PnL

+$0.2

Record

51%

5955-5641 (11596)

Research grade

NeutralTamara Zidansek at 64%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Tamara Zidansek

11 of 15 top traders (73%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Tamara Zidansek wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance65.6%

63.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$52.33

Max Loss

-$100.00

152.3

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.